In a bold and sobering address, AI trading pioneer Joseph Plazo issued a warning to Asia’s brightest minds: AI can do many things, but it cannot replace judgment.
MANILA — What followed wasn’t thunderous, but resonant—it reflected a deep, perhaps uneasy, resonance. At the packed University of the Philippines auditorium, future leaders from NUS, Kyoto, HKUST and AIM expected a triumphant ode to AI’s dominance in finance.
But they left with something deeper: a challenge.
Joseph Plazo, long revered as a maverick in algorithmic finance, refused to glorify the machine. He began with a paradox:
“AI can beat the market. But only if you teach it when not to try.”
Attention sharpened.
This wasn’t a coronation of AI, but a reckoning.
### Machines Without Meaning
His talk unraveled a common misconception: that data-driven machines can foresee financial futures alone.
He showcased clips of catastrophic AI trades— trades that defied logic, machines acting on misread signals, and neural nets confused by human nuance.
“Most models are just beautiful regressions of yesterday. But investing happens tomorrow.”
It wasn’t alarmist. It was sobering.
Then came the core question.
“ Can your code feel the 2008 crash? Not the price charts—the dread. The stunned silence. The smell of collapse?”
Silence.
### When Students Pushed Back
Naturally, the audience engaged.
A doctoral student from Kyoto proposed that large language models are already analyzing tone to improve predictions.
Plazo nodded. “ Yes. But knowing someone is angry doesn’t mean you know what they’ll do. ”
Another student from HKUST asked if real-time data and news could eventually get more info simulate conviction.
Plazo replied:
“You can simulate storms. But you can’t fake the thunder. Conviction isn't just data—it’s character.”
### The Tools—and the Trap
His concern wasn’t with AI’s power—but our dependence on it.
He described traders who waited for AI signals as gospel.
“This is not evolution. It’s abdication.”
Still, he wasn’t preaching rejection.
His systems parse liquidity, news, and institutional behavior—but humans remain in charge.
“The most dangerous phrase of the next decade,” he warned, “will be: ‘The model told me to do it.’”
### Asia’s Crossroads
The speech resonated especially in Asia, where tech optimism runs high.
“There’s a spiritual reverence for AI here,” said Dr. Anton Leung, an ethics professor from Singapore. “Plazo reminded us that even intelligence needs wisdom.”
At a private gathering with professors, Plazo urged for AI literacy—not just in code, but in consequence.
“Make them question, not just program.”
Final Words
His final words were more elegy than pitch.
“The market,” Plazo said, “is messy, human, emotional—a plot, not a proof. And if your AI doesn’t read character, it’ll trade noise for narrative.”
The room held its breath.
They stood up—quietly.
A professor compared it to hearing Taleb for the first time.
Plazo didn’t sell a vision.
And for those who came to worship at the altar of AI,
it was the sermon they didn’t expect—but needed to hear.